How to view the continuous speculations from the United States regarding the hostage issue, after Biden claimed Believe that an Israel-Palestine hostage exchange ceasefire agreement is imminent? What will happen next?

Escalation of Conflict, Seeking Ceasefire

On November 13th, the armed faction known as the Al-Qassam Brigades, a subordinate of Hamas, announced their readiness to release up to 70 women and children who were detained in the Gaza Strip, in exchange for a 5-day ceasefire.

Abu Ubaida, the spokesperson for the Al-Qassam Brigades, stated that the ceasefire should include a complete cessation of hostilities and allow for the provision of assistance and humanitarian relief throughout the Gaza Strip.

However, this proposal was not accepted by Israel. Israel has consistently stated that there will be no ceasefire without the release of hostages. Even though the opposing party has agreed to release some hostages in exchange for a five-day ceasefire, Israel opposes it. This clearly shows that Israel’s war is not aimed at the hostages. The hostages are just an excuse. Israel has long been deploying plans to occupy Gaza.

Currently, Israel has already occupied the northern part of Gaza and is preparing for a ground offensive in the south. They have already cut off water, electricity, and food supplies to the southern region for nearly a month. The southern region is on the verge of running out of supplies, making it the perfect time for Israel to fully occupy the area. Even with the intervention of the United States, Israel remains firmly against a ceasefire.

On November 11th, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated that he will confront the world if necessary.

Israel has already made up its mind to confront the world, and Gaza is its inevitable target.

The Israeli right wing has always believed that only by fully controlling Gaza can true long-term stability be achieved. This is in opposition to the international community, including the United States, which believes that resolving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict requires a two-state solution and that other methods will not bring true peace.

Biden publicly claims that a temporary ceasefire in exchange for hostages is only to alleviate pressure on Israel and buy more time. It should be noted that Gaza has already suffered the deaths of 13,000 people and is facing extreme danger due to the cutoff of water, electricity, and essential supplies.

Only with a complete ceasefire and the swift restoration of humanitarian corridors to supply essential goods can the possibility of a larger-scale loss of life be prevented.

Only the United States and the United Kingdom are opposed to a ceasefire and are only calling for a temporary halt to hostilities. However, there is still no news about this temporary ceasefire, with only Biden’s remark that it may happen soon.

This indifference to the hundreds of lives lost every day is a violation of moral values and human conscience. The modern civilization created by the West is being interpreted through the loss of real lives.

On the 15th, a resolution calling for a “humanitarian pause” was adopted with 12 votes in favor and 3 abstentions.

China emphasized that the parties involved need to fully implement the requirements in the resolution and consider establishing necessary mechanisms to monitor its implementation.

On the 20th, a joint delegation of foreign ministers from Arab and Islamic countries, consisting of Saudi Arabia’s Foreign Minister Faisal, Jordan’s Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Safadi, Egypt’s Foreign Minister Shoukry, Indonesia’s Foreign Minister Retno, Palestine’s Foreign Minister Maliki, and Secretary-General of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) Al-Othaimeen, visited China to seek a solution to the Israeli-Palestinian issue.

They are likely to discuss the implementation of the UN Security Council’s resolution and how to bring it to fruition. The focus should be on achieving an immediate ceasefire and stopping the bloodshed.

With the support of the United States, Israel is still openly massacring people. Whether the UN Security Council’s resolution can be implemented depends largely on the attitude of the United States. China needs to unite more countries to raise a greater voice, constrain the United States, and completely isolate Israel, so that they will consider the consequences and stop the massacre.

Israel Faces Pressure

For the United States, on one hand, it must support an unruly Israel, and on the other hand, it faces pressure from all sides.

If a ceasefire between Israel and Palestine is reached or is about to be reached, the United States must at least make some efforts to show that it has made substantive efforts, even if it is just a performance for the whole world to see.

The most awkward situation is Israel’s.

Israel has agreed to allow more humanitarian aid, including fuel, to enter the besieged Gaza Strip. However, this will also give Hamas in Gaza a rare opportunity to catch their breath and recuperate, which is even more detrimental to the upcoming operations of the Israeli army.

The founding war of Israel benefited from a month-long ceasefire; otherwise, the State of Israel would not have existed.

If Israel does not agree, it is equivalent to giving up the detained hostages. Israel’s only bargaining chip at the moment is the hostages. The families of the kid

Progress of the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict and the Possible Impact of Biden’s Speech

This matter has been in the air for almost a week without any progress. A few days ago, when Biden gave a speech, Blinken shaking his head in the audience probably referred to this matter. Moreover, there is still no definite statement whether the ceasefire would last for three or five days.

According to reports from the British Telegraph and Sky News, on November 15 local time, US President Biden mentioned the issue of Israeli-Palestinian conflict and hostage problems in a press conference, saying: “We have received strong cooperation from Qatar, and I have talked to them many times. I think the reason Israel stopped the action…”

Just at this moment, the media noticed that US Secretary of State Blinken was suddenly shaking his head, and then Biden realized that he had said too much and said, “I said too many details. I know, Mr. Secretary, I won’t continue…”

According to an Arab source with close ties to Hamas, the objects that Israel recently requested to be released include 13 mothers, 40 children, and 34 foreigners, totaling 87 people.

However, Israel has not confirmed this matter yet.

According to information from the Israeli Times, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu said, “So far,” no agreement has been reached to ensure the release of about 240 hostages detained by Hamas. At the same time, he refuted recent “many inaccurate reports,” including the imminent agreement and the release of at least some hostages. Netanyahu also stated that if an agreement is reached, the Israeli public will be informed.

Netanyahu’s statement on this issue seems cautious, possibly due to pressure from the hostage families in the country.

On Tuesday, a large-scale demonstration broke out in Israel. This demonstration was mainly composed of hostage families, with a total of thousands of people. They set off from Tel Aviv and marched continuously for five days until they reached Jerusalem on Saturday.

Under pressure, Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who is in a predicament, finally agreed to meet with these families on Monday together with his war cabinet.

The main issue of the current plan is centered around the number of people.

According to Sky News, “There still seems to be a disagreement between Hamas and Israel regarding the number of hostages.”

“This deal is still considered to focus on women and children. Israel hopes that all women and children will leave Gaza, and in return, it is prepared to release more Palestinian women and children detained in prisons.”

Besides, there is also hesitancy within the Israeli government regarding the ceasefire. Right-wing forces believe that a ceasefire will give Hamas an opportunity to regroup and rebuild. What’s more, these people’s desire for land seems endless, and once this ceasefire agreement continues, the age-old dream of annexing Gaza will come to an end.

However, the Netanyahu government is under immense pressure from the hostage families. After all, the war has been going on for a month, and the hostages have not been released yet. Many people have also questioned the effectiveness and purpose of Israel’s military operation. In addition, Israel has also suffered significant losses in this operation, with the loss of armored vehicles alone exceeding a hundred, putting pressure on Netanyahu.

Overall, there is a greater possibility of reaching a ceasefire agreement, regardless of the case, which can be seen as a positive signal. And once again, the US government has scored a point. Biden may try to take credit for this matter and hype it up.

Siege and Hostage Crisis in the Intensifying Phase of Israel and Hamas

The game between Israel and Hamas has entered its final, intensifying phase.

Israel has been strictly controlling all supplies entering the city of Gaza, in order to prevent them from falling into the hands of Hamas. Although this has resulted in a major humanitarian crisis, it has indeed had a significant impact on Hamas’s survival.

After more than a month of blockade, even Hamas, which had previously prepared a certain amount of food, water, and other supplies, is likely running out of remaining resources and reaching its limit physically.

Currently, each Gaza refugee in the city is receiving only 50 milliliters of drinking water as assistance per day. Therefore, even if they have some sympathy for Hamas, it is clear that this amount is not sufficient to meet their own daily needs, let alone share with others.

Correspondingly, the pressure from the international community on Israel has reached its limit.

Ceasefire and Expectations for Future Wars

Not only Biden, but Netanyahu and Haniya have also expressed the same meaning before. Combined with the resolution of the UN Security Council, a ceasefire between the two parties is highly probable. To state the obvious, a ceasefire implies that no one wants to fight anymore, and from this, we can infer the expectations for future wars.

If one side is about to fail, whether it is the Israeli army or Hamas, a ceasefire is unrealistic because the side about to achieve victory will not agree to it. Therefore, it can be seen that both sides are facing a stalemate in their expectations for the next move. When a stalemate arises, the biggest uncertainty lies with Hezbollah in Lebanon.

If Hezbollah does not intervene, then in the long run, the besieged Hamas will not be able to sustain a war of attrition. If Hezbollah does intervene, the Israeli army, facing enemies on both sides, is highly likely to be defeated, which could drag the United States into the conflict and even lead to a war with Iran. Neither the United States nor Hamas dares to bet, hence the handshake and peace talk.

The True Motivation behind Israel’s Attack on Gaza

The reason why the United States frequently discloses information about hostage negotiations between Israel and Palestine is actually to endorse the legitimacy of Israel’s attack on Gaza and thereby ease tensions with the international community.

The intention of the United States is clear: to claim that the reason behind Israel’s assault on Gaza is not solely for retaliation, but rather, the main focus is on rescuing the hostages. According to their narrative, if Israel did not take this action, Hamas would never release the hostages.

However, even though the United States presents it this way, everyone understands that there are many methods to rescue hostages, and resorting to attacking Gaza to pressure Hamas for their release is essentially exchanging the lives of Palestinian people for those of the hostages. This price is too high, too brutal, and too unfair. It exemplifies the utmost extent of racism and discrimination.

The international community will not be easily deceived by the lies of the United States and Israel. In the coming time, they will continue to exert pressure on Israel and the United States in order to ultimately achieve a complete ceasefire.

Israeli Hostages and War Objectives

Biden is about to be criticized by Israel as being senile again. It is clear to anyone with discernment that Israel does not care about the fate of the hostages.

The key to exchanging hostages for a ceasefire lies with Israel. Now the Israeli parliament refuses to promise that rescuing captives will be the primary objective of the war.

Why isn’t Biden making a V gesture? Could it be a muscle spasm?

The United States has gone from advocating for a humanitarian ceasefire to proposing a prisoner exchange, but there has been no progress on exchanging hostages for a ceasefire.

Israel has always used the hostages and Hamas as an excuse to attack Gaza. Where the hostages are, the Israeli army will strike. When the Israeli army occupied the Shifa Hospital in Gaza, there were no hostages to be found, nor was Hamas present. It was all just photos taken by the Israeli army.

The Israeli army has constantly used the hostages as a talking point. It has been 23 days since the ground forces attacked Gaza, and they have already occupied numerous Hamas strongholds, but not a single hostage has been seen.

Regardless of what the United States says, Israel has its own ideas, which is to occupy Gaza.

There are only two possible outcomes in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict: Israel is defeated, or after Hamas is eliminated, Israel occupies northern Gaza.

Contradictions in the US Position

To really understand this, we have to talk about the United States.

The voting base of the Democratic Party in the United States is actually leaning heavily towards progressive elements - can you believe it?

Or you could say that the faction represented by Musk, should actually be the one supporting Israel, but unexpectedly they find themselves in opposition to Israel as well - illustrating the internal contradictions within the United States.

The rednecks don’t oppose Israel’s heavy bombardment - because they are inherently white supremacists. However, they do oppose the Jewish community or what they perceive as the Jewish community - by introducing immigration of people of color to dilute the proportion of white people in the United States. This is the embodiment of internal contradictions within the United States.

What we often mock as the “white left” in Europe and the United States - this time they have truly taken a clear stand in support of the “right to survival” for the Palestinians.

In comparison, I can barely bear to look at those at home - a group who claim to be “moral,” “civilized,” and “just” - what a joke.

Ceasefire Agreement

The main reason is that Israel is running out of ammunition. They need these three days as a buffer to replenish their ammunition. Hamas also needs three days to replenish medical supplies, food, and water. Both sides need these three days as a buffer, so they have reached a three-day ceasefire agreement.